Finance & Markets
f Tactical Track Will WTI crude oil futures record a closing price below $95 by May 20, 2026? 45% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-05-20 🎯 Brier: 0.27 f Strategic Track Will the U.S. and Iran sign a formal framework agreement on the nuclear issue by the end of December 2026? 82%
Technology
t Tactical Track Will Samsung Electronics maintain a market capitalization above $1 trillion as of May 20, 2026? 40% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-05-20 🎯 Brier: 0.19 t Strategic Track Will Samsung Electronics overtake SK Hynix in HBM market share (exceeding 50% by shipment volume) by the end of 2026? 75% NO
Culture, Entertainment & Sports
c Tactical Track 船橋競馬場は2026年内に山下智久アンバサダーを活用した追加の公式集客イベントを発表するか？ 36% YES 📅 判定: 2026-08-31 🎯 Brier: 0.19 c Strategic Track 地方競馬全体の来場者数は2026年度に前年比10%以上増加するか？ 75% NO 📅 判定: 2027-03-31 🎯 Brier: 0.19 What Happened ⚡ 何が起きたか 船橋競馬パークオフィシャルアンバサダーの山下智久氏がかしわ記念当日の5月5日に船橋競馬場を訪れ、約1万7000人が詰めかける「ごった返し」状態となった。ゴールデンウィーク開催と重なり、芸能人の集客効果が地方競馬の新規ファン獲得にどう影響するかが注目される。地方競馬関係者にとって、エンタメとの連携戦略が今後の集客施策の試金石となる。 日本の地方競馬は近年ネット投票の普及により売上が回復傾向にあり、若年層・女性層の取り込みが課題となってきた。山下智久氏のような国際的知名度を持つ俳優が公式アンバサダー
Health & Science
h Tactical Track Will the FDA issue new official guidance or a statement on medical AI training data quality by May 20, 2026? 67% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-05-20 🎯 Brier: 0.25 h Strategic Track Will the FDA finalize binding regulatory guidance on the quality and representativeness of medical AI training data
Culture, Entertainment & Sports
c Tactical Track 日本男子卓球チームはこの大会でベスト4以上に進出するか？ 50% NO 📅 判定: 2026-05-20 🎯 Brier: 0.19 c Strategic Track 日本男子卓球は2028年ロサンゼルス五輪団体戦でメダル（銅以上）を獲得するか？ 45% YES 📅 判定: 2028-08-15 🎯 Brier: 0.19 What Happened ⚡ 何が起きたか 卓球の国際大会団体戦で、張本智和がチョレイを連呼する気迫のプレーで逆転勝利に貢献し、日本がベスト8に進出した。日本卓球の国際競争力が着実に向上していることを示す結果であり、中国一強時代への挑戦が続く。次戦の準々決勝で上位シード国との対戦が予想され、メダル獲得の可能性が試される。 張本智和は2024年パリ五輪で男子シングルス銅メダルを獲得し、名実ともに日本卓球のエースに成長した。「チョレイ」は張本の代名詞的雄叫びで、試合の勢いを左右する心理的武器として機能している。日本卓球は水谷隼・伊藤美誠の時代からメダル常連国へと変貌
Technology
t Tactical Track Will any of the presenting companies (Coinbase, M13) announce a specific M&A deal within two weeks after the M&A session at TechCrunch Disrupt 2026? 65% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-05-20 🎯 Brier: 0.19 t Strategic Track Will the number of early-stage M&A deals
Energy
e Tactical Track Will U.S. crude oil inventories fall below 450 million barrels by end of May according to EIA weekly data? 57% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-05-20 🎯 Brier: 0.25 e Strategic Track Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories fall below 400 million barrels and reach a tightness level
Health & Science
h Tactical Track Prompted by this BBC report, will the UK NHS or WHO announce an official update to hydration intake guidelines by May 20, 2026? 70% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-05-20 🎯 Brier: 0.25 h Strategic Track By the end of 2026, will major public health authorities (WHO, NHS, CDC, etc.
Crypto & Web3
c Tactical Track Will JPMorgan officially announce an expansion of direct Bitcoin purchase and custody services by May 20, 2026? 57% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-05-20 🎯 Brier: 0.19 c Strategic Track Will at least 3 of the top 5 U.S. banks offer direct Bitcoin purchase and custody services to retail
Finance & Markets
f Tactical Track Will Rawbank officially announce plans to raise funds on international capital markets (bonds, IPO, etc.) by May 20, 2026? 45% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-05-20 🎯 Brier: 0.27 f Strategic Track Will Rawbank execute fundraising through international capital markets (bond issuance, IPO, or acceptance of international strategic investors) by
Culture, Entertainment & Sports
c Tactical Track Will Neymar receive an official suspension from Santos FC or the CBF by May 21, 2026, as a result of this slapping incident? 65% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-05-20 🎯 Brier: 0.19 c Strategic Track Will Neymar depart Santos FC before fulfilling his contract by the end of 2026
Energy
e Tactical Track Will Microsoft officially announce a revision or postponement of its 2030 carbon-negative goal by the end of Q2 2026? 65% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-05-20 🎯 Brier: 0.25 e Strategic Track Will two or more of Microsoft, Google, and Amazon officially postpone or significantly revise their 2030 climate goals
PREDICTION ORACLE
Pattern analysis + verifiable forecasts. Free weekly digest.
Subscribe Free →