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Energy

Oil Slides but the Real Test Comes This Weekend with US-Iran Talks

e Will US-Iran talks achieve a formal agreement guaranteeing freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz by end of Q2 2026? 57% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-06-30 🎯 Brier: 0.25 (e) 🔗 All Predictions What Happened ⚡ What Happened Oil prices are falling on expectations that the Strait of Hormuz blockade will end.

Energy

India's Power Demand Growth Slows to Six-Year Low in FY2025-26

e Will India's power demand growth rate exceed 3% in FY2026-27 (April 2026 – March 2027)? 40% NO 📅 Resolution: 2027-04-30 🎯 Brier: 0.25 (e) 🔗 All Predictions What Happened ⚡ What Happened India's power supply growth slowed sharply in FY2025-26, recording its lowest growth in six years. The primary

Energy

U.S. Oil and Gas Drilling Activity Slows, Rig Count Down 42 Year-over-Year

e Will the total U.S. oil and gas active rig count fall below 500 by the end of June 2026? 60% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-06-30 🎯 Brier: 0.25 (e) 🔗 All Predictions What Happened ⚡ What Happened According to the latest data from Baker Hughes, the total U.S. active rig count

Technology

Feature on Used EVs Available for $25,000: The U.S. Used EV Market Enters a Mature Price Range

t Will the average U.S. used EV transaction price stay below $25,000 through the end of Q2 2026? 47% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-06-30 🎯 Brier: 0.19 (t) 🔗 All Predictions What Happened ⚡ What Happened Ars Technica featured a roundup of used EVs available for $20,000–$25,000 (approximately ¥3.

Culture, Entertainment & Sports

Chelsea MF Palmer Denies Man Utd Transfer Reports

c Will Cole Palmer still be at Chelsea at the close of the summer transfer window on September 1, 2026? 36% YES 📅 Resolution: 2026-09-01 🎯 Brier: 0.19 (c) 🔗 All Predictions What Happened ⚡ What Happened Chelsea's key player Cole Palmer has denied links to a move to Manchester United,

Crypto & Web3

Strategy Proposes Semi-Monthly Dividends on STRC Preferred Stock — Aiming to Boost Liquidity and Demand

c Will Strategy's STRC semi-monthly dividend proposal be officially approved and implemented by the end of Q2 2026? 51% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-06-30 🎯 Brier: 0.19 (c) 🔗 All Predictions What Happened ⚡ What Happened Strategy Chairman Michael Saylor has proposed semi-monthly dividend payments on the popular STRC preferred stock. The

Culture, Entertainment & Sports

English Championship Promotion Race: Four Clubs in Fierce Battle with Two Weeks Remaining

c Will Southampton achieve automatic promotion (top 2) in the 2025-26 Championship season? 45% NO 📅 Resolution: 2026-05-15 🎯 Brier: 0.19 (c) 🔗 All Predictions What Happened ⚡ What Happened As Coventry consolidate their position at the top of the English Championship, four clubs — Ipswich, Millwall, Southampton, and Middlesbrough — are battling for the

Crypto & Web3

米上院議員がバイナンスの制裁遵守と監視官機能を追及

c 2026年Q2末までに、米DOJまたは財務省がバイナンスに対し司法取引条件違反を理由とする公式な法的措置（追加罰金・再起訴・監視強化命令）を発表するか？ 60% NO 📅 判定: 2026-06-30 🎯 Brier: 0.19 (c) 🔗 全予測一覧 What Happened ⚡ 何が起きたかブルーメンソール米上院議員が、バイナンスによるイラン関連17億ドルの制裁回避疑惑を受け、DOJと財務省に外部監視官の活動状況に関する文書提出を要求した。2023年の司法取引で合意されたコンプライアンス体制が実質的に機能しているかが焦点となる。議会からの圧力が強まれば、バイナンスへの追加制裁や監視強化措置に発展する可能性がある。 2023年11月、バイナンスは43億ドルの罰金支払いと外部監視官の受け入れを条件にDOJと司法取引を成立させた。この取引はマネーロンダリング防止法違反と制裁法違反に対する和解であり、CZ（趙長鵬）のCEO辞任も含まれた。今回のブルーメンソール議員の動きは、その司法取引後も制裁回避が継続している疑惑に基づく。イラン関連17

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